Commentary

Short pieces by C. Erik Larson on risk governance, model validation and the supervisory questions raised by new financial technology.

October 9, 2026

Model Validation's Four Questions, Asked of Agentic AI

SR 26-2 places generative and agentic AI outside its scope. The four questions behind model validation still apply. What changes is how difficult they are to answer, and how much of what is presented as new is not.

Tokenized Deposits

A four-part series, September 25 – October 7, 2026

Part One · September 25, 2026

Tokenization in Production: Three Unsolved Risk Problems

Toolkits, venues and chartered issuers are often described as one thing. Distinguishing them clarifies three risk management problems that remain unsolved.

Part Two · September 30, 2026

Deferred Net Settlement in Tokenized Deposit Networks

A network that settles tokens on a gross basis around the clock and nets fiat once a business day is running deferred net settlement. Payment systems answered that problem long ago, and the answers belong in the rulebook.

Part Three · October 2, 2026

Monitoring Without a History: BSA/AML on Tokenized Deposit Networks

Transaction monitoring systems are models, tuned against years of alert history. A new network has none, and permissioned access is not the same thing as monitoring.

Part Four · October 7, 2026

Five Tokenized Deposit Networks, None Fungible

Fragmentation across tokenized deposit networks is not mainly an inconvenience. The settlement and credit question underneath it has no answer yet, and the controls that would answer it are decades old.

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